D4 Suisse . Jor. 15

Analyse Baden vs Luzern II

Baden Luzern II
45 ELO 38
18.9% Tilt 9.5%
3446º Classement général ELO 3661º
28º Classement ELO pays 30º
Probabilité ELO de victoire
63.5%
Baden
18.9%
Match nul
17.6%
Luzern II

Possibles résultats

Probabilité de résultat correcte
Probabilité de différence de buts
63.5%
Probabilité victoire
Baden
2.31
Buts attendus
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.9%
Match nul
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17.6%
Probabilité victoire
Luzern II
1.15
Buts attendus
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

Graphique ELO/Inclinaison

← Défensif Tilt Offensif →
Baden
-27%
-32%
Luzern II

Progression de la note ELO

Baden
Luzern II
Adversaires proches en matière de points ELO

Matchs

Baden
Baden
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2020
BAD
Baden
3 - 1
Langenthal
LAN
68%
18%
14%
44 37 7 0
17 Oct. 2020
ZUG
Zug 94
0 - 2
Baden
BAD
17%
21%
62%
44 28 16 0
07 Oct. 2020
BAD
Baden
3 - 0
Solothurn
SOL
44%
23%
33%
42 45 3 +2
03 Oct. 2020
BAD
Baden
0 - 2
Biel-Bienne
BIE
38%
22%
40%
43 46 3 -1
26 Sep. 2020
GRA
Grasshopper II
4 - 2
Baden
BAD
34%
24%
42%
45 38 7 -2

Matchs

Luzern II
Luzern II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 2020
LUZ
Luzern II
5 - 1
Buochs
BUO
60%
19%
21%
37 32 5 0
17 Oct. 2020
MUT
Muttenz
2 - 2
Luzern II
LUZ
28%
21%
52%
38 28 10 -1
03 Oct. 2020
LUZ
Luzern II
3 - 1
Delemont
DEL
27%
24%
50%
35 44 9 +3
27 Sep. 2020
LAN
Langenthal
3 - 1
Luzern II
LUZ
44%
22%
35%
36 36 0 -1
20 Sep. 2020
LUZ
Luzern II
2 - 1
Zug 94
ZUG
73%
16%
12%
36 28 8 0
X