Analyse BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava
Possibles résultats
Probabilité d'obtenir chaque résultat exact
Probabilité de handicap
59.9%
Probabilité de victoire
1.88
Buts espérés
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.1%
Nul
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.9%
Probabilité de victoire
0.92
Buts espérés
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Graphique ELO/Inclinaison
← Défensif
Tilt
Offensif →
-10%
-18%
Pronostic de points et classement
Position en championnat
POS. ACT.
4º
PTS.
MEILLEUR
PIRE
EXP.
40
2º
6º
5º
29
4º
9º
7º
PTS.
MEILLEUR
PIRE
EXP.
POS. ACT.
6º
Attentes au classement
| Classement actuel | Attentes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 85 |
1º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 84 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 60 |
3º
|
82% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 52 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 51 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 37 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 37 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 35 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 29 |
10º
|
56% | |
| Probabilités des résultats | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Phase qualification Ligue des champions
|
0% | 0% |
|
Tour préliminaire de la Ligue Conférence
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Mi-tableau
|
93.5% | 86.5% |
|
Play-offs Relégation
|
0% | 12% |
|
Relégation
|
0% | 1.5% |
Progression de la note ELO
Adversaires proches en matière de points ELO
Matchs
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
AUD
1 - 3
BFC
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
BFC
2 - 4
VLZ
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
FSL
2 - 4
BFC
6%
12%
83%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
VLZ
0 - 1
BFC
39%
24%
36%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 1
BFC
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
Matchs
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
FKJ
1 - 0
SUP
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
FKJ
0 - 1
RIG
16%
20%
64%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
AUD
2 - 0
FKJ
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2025 |
CAR
3 - 0
FKJ
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
FKJ
0 - 1
RIG
21%
24%
56%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |