Analyse Aarau vs Thun
Possibles résultats
Probabilité d'obtenir chaque résultat exact
Probabilité de handicap
31.9%
Probabilité de victoire
1.31
Buts espérés
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.7%
Nul
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
43.4%
Probabilité de victoire
1.57
Buts espérés
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Graphique ELO/Inclinaison
← Défensif
Tilt
Offensif →
+6%
+6%
Pronostic de points et classement
Position en championnat
POS. ACT.
6º
PTS.
MEILLEUR
PIRE
EXP.
43
3º
7º
6º
76
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
MEILLEUR
PIRE
EXP.
POS. ACT.
2º
Attentes au classement
| Classement actuel | Attentes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Probabilités des résultats | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Tour préliminaire de la Ligue Conférence
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mi-tableau
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relégation
|
0% | 0% |
Progression de la note ELO
Adversaires proches en matière de points ELO
Matchs
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 1
SCH
54%
23%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FCV
2 - 2
FCA
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 2
BEL
67%
20%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
WIL
0 - 2
FCA
35%
25%
40%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
3 - 2
FCV
35%
24%
41%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matchs
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
THU
2 - 1
FCV
49%
24%
28%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
WIL
0 - 3
THU
27%
24%
49%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
THU
1 - 1
NEX
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 1
THU
32%
25%
43%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
SIO
2 - 3
THU
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |