Analyse Aarau vs Thun
Possibles résultats
Probabilité d'obtenir chaque résultat exact
Probabilité de handicap
29.2%
Probabilité de victoire
1.23
Buts espérés
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.6%
Nul
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
46.1%
Probabilité de victoire
1.6
Buts espérés
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Graphique ELO/Inclinaison
← Défensif
Tilt
Offensif →
+6%
+6%
Pronostic de points et classement
Position en championnat
POS. ACT.
6º
PTS.
MEILLEUR
PIRE
EXP.
43
3º
7º
6º
76
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
MEILLEUR
PIRE
EXP.
POS. ACT.
2º
Attentes au classement
| Classement actuel | Attentes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Probabilités des résultats | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Tour préliminaire de la Ligue Conférence
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mi-tableau
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relégation
|
0% | 0% |
Progression de la note ELO
Adversaires proches en matière de points ELO
Matchs
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Avr. 2024 |
NEX
3 - 1
FCA
30%
24%
46%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Avr. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 2
SCH
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
BEL
5 - 2
FCA
15%
22%
63%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 2
FCD
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
BAD
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
Matchs
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Avr. 2024 |
THU
1 - 0
BEL
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Avr. 2024 |
THU
4 - 0
NEX
63%
21%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Avr. 2024 |
FCV
1 - 0
THU
24%
24%
53%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
SIO
1 - 2
THU
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
THU
2 - 1
WIL
57%
23%
21%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |