Analyse Aarau vs Thun
Possibles résultats
Probabilité d'obtenir chaque résultat exact
Probabilité de handicap
24.3%
Probabilité de victoire
1.1
Buts espérés
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.9%
Nul
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
51.7%
Probabilité de victoire
1.71
Buts espérés
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Graphique ELO/Inclinaison
← Défensif
Tilt
Offensif →
+6%
+7%
Pronostic de points et classement
Position en championnat
POS. ACT.
2º
PTS.
MEILLEUR
PIRE
EXP.
61
1º
10º
2º
72
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
MEILLEUR
PIRE
EXP.
POS. ACT.
1º
Attentes au classement
| Classement actuel | Attentes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Probabilités des résultats | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mi-tableau
|
0% | 0% |
|
Tour préliminaire de la Ligue Conférence
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relégation
|
0% | 0% |
Progression de la note ELO
Adversaires proches en matière de points ELO
Matchs
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
YOB
1 - 0
FCA
77%
14%
9%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
LUG
0 - 1
FCA
69%
18%
13%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
FCA
3 - 3
KRI
70%
17%
13%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
OLT
0 - 5
FCA
3%
9%
88%
|
66 | 21 | 45 | 0 |
| 20 Mai. 2024 |
STA
4 - 3
FCA
33%
24%
43%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matchs
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
THU
2 - 1
SOC
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
THU
0 - 1
YVE
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
THU
0 - 0
ZUR
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
THU
10 - 0
BAD
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
THU
4 - 1
BRE
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |