Analyse Thun vs Aarau
Possibles résultats
Probabilité d'obtenir chaque résultat exact
Probabilité de handicap
57.7%
Probabilité de victoire
1.96
Buts espérés
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.7%
Nul
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.6%
Probabilité de victoire
1.09
Buts espérés
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Graphique ELO/Inclinaison
← Défensif
Tilt
Offensif →
+9%
+5%
Pronostic de points et classement
Position en championnat
POS. ACT.
1º
PTS.
MEILLEUR
PIRE
EXP.
72
1º
3º
1º
61
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
MEILLEUR
PIRE
EXP.
POS. ACT.
2º
Attentes au classement
| Classement actuel | Attentes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Probabilités des résultats | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mi-tableau
|
0% | 0% |
|
Tour préliminaire de la Ligue Conférence
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relégation
|
0% | 0% |
Progression de la note ELO
Adversaires proches en matière de points ELO
Matchs
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
NEX
2 - 3
THU
22%
24%
55%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
THU
2 - 1
ETO
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
STA
1 - 6
THU
16%
22%
62%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
THU
3 - 1
SCH
67%
19%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 0
THU
27%
25%
48%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matchs
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 1
WIL
45%
24%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 4
FCA
24%
25%
52%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 1
FCA
39%
24%
36%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
STA
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
SCH
0 - 3
FCA
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |