Analyse Winterthur vs Basel
Possibles résultats
Probabilité de résultat correcte
Probabilité de différence de buts
26.8%
Probabilité victoire
1.25
Buts attendus
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
23.3%
Match nul
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
49.9%
Probabilité victoire
1.78
Buts attendus
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Graphique ELO/Inclinaison
← Défensif
Tilt
Offensif →
-13%
+6%
Pronostic de points et classement
Position en championnat
POS. ACT.
11º
PTS.
MEILLEUR
PIRE
EXP.
11
6º
12º
11º
25
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
MEILLEUR
PIRE
EXP.
POS. ACT.
2º
Attentes au classement
| Classement actuel | Attentes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 37 |
1º
|
30% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 36 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 36 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 36 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 33 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 33 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 30 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 30 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 28 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 23 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 19 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 17 |
12º
|
49.5% | |
| Probabilités des résultats | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs pour le titre
|
0.5% | 91% |
|
Play-offs de maintien
|
99.5% | 9% |
Progression de la note ELO
Adversaires proches en matière de points ELO
Matchs
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
LAU
2 - 0
WIN
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
WIN
2 - 2
WIL
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 0
GCZ
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 1
WIN
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 4
YOB
29%
24%
47%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
Matchs
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 1
STG
37%
25%
39%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 0
YOB
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 0
BAS
34%
25%
41%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 2
ZUR
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
STA
0 - 1
BAS
12%
18%
70%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |