Analyse Winterthur vs Basel
Possibles résultats
Probabilité de résultat correcte
Probabilité de différence de buts
26.7%
Probabilité victoire
1.24
Buts attendus
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
23.2%
Match nul
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
50.1%
Probabilité victoire
1.78
Buts attendus
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Graphique ELO/Inclinaison
← Défensif
Tilt
Offensif →
-14%
+2%
Pronostic de points et classement
Position en championnat
POS. ACT.
12º
PTS.
MEILLEUR
PIRE
EXP.
7
6º
12º
12º
16
5º
10º
5º
PTS.
MEILLEUR
PIRE
EXP.
POS. ACT.
5º
Attentes au classement
| Classement actuel | Attentes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 39 |
1º
|
34% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 38 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 36 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 36 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
|
5º
|
16 | 34 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 34 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 27 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 27 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 25 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 24 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 20 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 19 |
12º
|
42% | |
| Probabilités des résultats | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs pour le titre
|
2% | 82% |
|
Play-offs de maintien
|
98% | 18% |
Progression de la note ELO
Adversaires proches en matière de points ELO
Matchs
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
LAU
2 - 0
WIN
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
WIN
2 - 2
WIL
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 0
GCZ
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 1
WIN
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 4
YOB
29%
24%
47%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
Matchs
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 1
STG
36%
25%
40%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 0
YOB
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 0
BAS
34%
25%
41%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 2
ZUR
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
STA
0 - 1
BAS
12%
18%
70%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |