Premier League Jor. 15

Analyse Aston Villa vs Newcastle

Aston Villa Newcastle
85 ELO 82
13.5% Tilt -3.9%
55º Classement général ELO 41º
Classement ELO pays
Probabilité ELO de victoire
67.5%
Aston Villa
18.9%
Match nul
13.6%
Newcastle

Possibles résultats

Probabilité de résultat correcte
Probabilité de différence de buts
67.5%
Probabilité victoire
Aston Villa
2.19
Buts attendus
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.9%
Match nul
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.6%
Probabilité victoire
Newcastle
0.87
Buts attendus
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Graphique ELO/Inclinaison

← Défensif Tilt Offensif →
Aston Villa
+12%
+5%
Newcastle

Progression de la note ELO

Aston Villa
Newcastle
Adversaires proches en matière de points ELO

Matchs

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 1901
LIV
Liverpool
1 - 0
Aston Villa
ASV
59%
21%
20%
85 85 0 0
23 Nov. 1901
ASV
Aston Villa
2 - 1
Wolves
WOL
64%
19%
17%
85 81 4 0
09 Nov. 1901
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 0
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
69%
18%
13%
85 79 6 0
02 Nov. 1901
NOT
Notts County
0 - 3
Aston Villa
ASV
40%
25%
36%
85 80 5 0
26 Oct. 1901
ASV
Aston Villa
4 - 1
Sheffield Wednesday
SHW
68%
19%
13%
84 82 2 +1

Matchs

Newcastle
Newcastle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 1901
NEW
Newcastle
5 - 1
Grimsby Town
GRI
65%
20%
15%
82 74 8 0
23 Nov. 1901
NEW
Newcastle
1 - 0
Liverpool
LIV
40%
26%
34%
82 85 3 0
09 Nov. 1901
NEW
Newcastle
3 - 0
Manchester City
MAC
61%
21%
18%
81 78 3 +1
02 Nov. 1901
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
3 - 1
Newcastle
NEW
37%
27%
36%
82 78 4 -1
26 Oct. 1901
NEW
Newcastle
8 - 0
Notts County
NOT
58%
22%
20%
81 81 0 +1