Brasileirão Jor. 40

Analyse Guaraní vs Bahía

Guaraní Bahía
79 ELO 77
2.6% Tilt -4.1%
481º Classement général ELO 119º
33º Classement ELO pays 19º
Probabilité ELO de victoire
52.1%
Guaraní
23.9%
Match nul
24.1%
Bahía

Possibles résultats

Probabilité de résultat correcte
Probabilité de différence de buts
52%
Probabilité victoire
Guaraní
1.71
Buts attendus
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Match nul
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.1%
Probabilité victoire
Bahía
1.09
Buts attendus
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Graphique ELO/Inclinaison

← Défensif Tilt Offensif →
Guaraní
-4%
-6%
Bahía

Progression de la note ELO

Guaraní
Bahía
Adversaires proches en matière de points ELO

Matchs

Guaraní
Guaraní
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2003
GOI
Goiás EC
3 - 0
Guaraní
GUA
57%
23%
21%
79 81 2 0
23 Oct. 2003
SAO
São Paulo
3 - 3
Guaraní
GUA
68%
19%
14%
79 85 6 0
18 Oct. 2003
GUA
Guaraní
2 - 0
Fluminense
FLU
50%
24%
26%
79 78 1 0
11 Oct. 2003
GUA
Guaraní
1 - 3
Ponte Preta
PPE
50%
24%
26%
79 79 0 0
08 Oct. 2003
SAN
Santos FC
1 - 1
Guaraní
GUA
70%
18%
13%
79 86 7 0

Matchs

Bahía
Bahía
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 2003
BAH
Bahía
2 - 2
Fluminense
FLU
54%
22%
24%
78 78 0 0
22 Oct. 2003
BAH
Bahía
4 - 7
Santos FC
SAN
37%
26%
38%
78 86 8 0
18 Oct. 2003
COT
Coritiba
3 - 2
Bahía
BAH
50%
26%
25%
78 81 3 0
12 Oct. 2003
VIT
Vitória
2 - 1
Bahía
BAH
53%
23%
24%
79 78 1 -1
08 Oct. 2003
BAH
Bahía
3 - 0
São Paulo
SAO
32%
24%
43%
78 86 8 +1