Copa Paulista Primera Ronda. Jor. 5

Analyse Nacional SP vs Portuguesa

Nacional SP Portuguesa
46 ELO 55
-1.7% Tilt -6.5%
26738º Classement général ELO 2211º
661º Classement ELO pays 67º
Probabilité ELO de victoire
32.1%
Nacional SP
26.3%
Match nul
41.6%
Portuguesa

Possibles résultats

Probabilité de résultat correcte
Probabilité de différence de buts
32.1%
Probabilité victoire
Nacional SP
1.19
Buts attendus
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.3%
Match nul
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.6%
Probabilité victoire
Portuguesa
1.4
Buts attendus
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Graphique ELO/Inclinaison

← Défensif Tilt Offensif →
Nacional SP
+1%
+3%
Portuguesa

Progression de la note ELO

Nacional SP
Portuguesa
Adversaires proches en matière de points ELO

Matchs

Nacional SP
Nacional SP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2020
NAC
Nacional SP
3 - 5
Guaraní SP II
GSP
78%
14%
8%
47 13 34 0
14 Nov. 2020
GSP
Guaraní SP II
2 - 2
Nacional SP
NAC
11%
17%
72%
47 9 38 0
11 Nov. 2020
POR
Portuguesa
4 - 0
Nacional SP
NAC
52%
25%
23%
48 53 5 -1
04 Nov. 2020
NAC
Nacional SP
2 - 1
Água Santa
AGU
33%
26%
41%
48 53 5 0
24 Oct. 2020
NOR
Noroeste
1 - 1
Nacional SP
NAC
54%
25%
22%
47 52 5 +1

Matchs

Portuguesa
Portuguesa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2020
AGU
Água Santa
0 - 0
Portuguesa
POR
40%
27%
33%
54 51 3 0
14 Nov. 2020
POR
Portuguesa
3 - 1
Água Santa
AGU
46%
26%
28%
53 52 1 +1
11 Nov. 2020
POR
Portuguesa
4 - 0
Nacional SP
NAC
52%
25%
23%
53 48 5 0
04 Nov. 2020
GSP
Guaraní SP II
0 - 5
Portuguesa
POR
11%
19%
70%
53 9 44 0
14 Sep. 2020
POR
Portuguesa
0 - 1
XV de Piracicaba
XVD
29%
26%
45%
53 60 7 0
X