Copa Sudamericana 1/8 de finale
Total 2-5
Analyse Peñarol vs Fluminense
Possibles résultats
Probabilité de résultat correcte
Probabilité de différence de buts
63.3%
Probabilité victoire
2.05
Buts attendus
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.5%
Match nul
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.2%
Probabilité victoire
0.93
Buts attendus
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progression de la note ELO
Adversaires proches en matière de points ELO
Matchs
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 1
PEÑ
22%
25%
54%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
BOS
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
MIL
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
IND
3 - 3
PEÑ
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matchs
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
VAS
2 - 1
FLU
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 1
CEA
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 1
FLU
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
FLU
0 - 0
FLA
25%
26%
49%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
CRZ
2 - 2
FLU
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |