Copa Paulista Jor. 1

Analyse São Bernardo FC vs Nacional SP

São Bernardo FC Nacional SP
60 ELO 47
-8.9% Tilt -13.5%
702º Classement général ELO 30036º
37º Classement ELO pays 782º
Probabilité ELO de victoire
69.2%
São Bernardo FC
19.3%
Match nul
11.4%
Nacional SP

Possibles résultats

Probabilité de résultat correcte
Probabilité de différence de buts
69.2%
Probabilité victoire
São Bernardo FC
2.05
Buts attendus
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.3%
Match nul
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.4%
Probabilité victoire
Nacional SP
0.69
Buts attendus
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

Graphique ELO/Inclinaison

← Défensif Tilt Offensif →
São Bernardo FC
+4%
+3%
Nacional SP

Progression de la note ELO

São Bernardo FC
Nacional SP
Adversaires proches en matière de points ELO

Matchs

São Bernardo FC
São Bernardo FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Avr. 2015
SAO
São Bernardo FC
4 - 0
Marília
MAR
66%
21%
13%
60 48 12 0
05 Avr. 2015
LIN
Linense CA
1 - 4
São Bernardo FC
SAO
41%
27%
32%
59 55 4 +1
01 Avr. 2015
POR
Portuguesa
0 - 0
São Bernardo FC
SAO
52%
25%
23%
59 61 2 0
28 Mar. 2015
SAO
São Bernardo FC
1 - 0
Botafogo SP
BOT
39%
27%
34%
59 61 2 0
22 Mar. 2015
SAO
São Bernardo FC
0 - 1
Palmeiras
PAL
18%
23%
59%
59 77 18 0

Matchs

Nacional SP
Nacional SP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Avr. 2015
TAU
Taubaté
1 - 1
Nacional SP
NAC
53%
24%
23%
46 48 2 0
11 Avr. 2015
NAC
Nacional SP
3 - 1
Sertãozinho
SER
46%
25%
30%
45 46 1 +1
08 Avr. 2015
NAC
Nacional SP
2 - 0
CA Juventus
JUV
26%
24%
50%
43 53 10 +2
05 Avr. 2015
ITA
Itapirense
1 - 1
Nacional SP
NAC
51%
25%
25%
43 45 2 0
28 Mar. 2015
INT
Inter de Limeira
2 - 3
Nacional SP
NAC
62%
23%
15%
42 53 11 +1