Coupe COSAFA Groupe B Tour 3

Analyse Mozambique vs Madagascar

Mozambique Madagascar
60 ELO 62
-18.5% Tilt -3.2%
2579º Classement général ELO 2552º
Classement ELO pays
Probabilité ELO de victoire
41.4%
Mozambique
26.8%
Match nul
31.8%
Madagascar

Possibles résultats

Probabilité d'obtenir chaque résultat exact
Probabilité de handicap
41.4%
Probabilité de victoire
Mozambique
1.36
Buts espérés
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.8%
Nul
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.8%
Probabilité de victoire
Madagascar
1.15
Buts espérés
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Graphique ELO/Inclinaison

← Défensif Tilt Offensif →
Mozambique
+9%
-8%
Madagascar

Progression de la note ELO

Mozambique
Madagascar
Adversaires proches en matière de points ELO

Matchs

Mozambique
Mozambique
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jun. 2017
SYC
Seychelles
1 - 2
Mozambique
MOZ
11%
20%
69%
62 40 22 0
26 Jun. 2017
MOZ
Mozambique
0 - 4
Zimbabwe
ZIM
28%
27%
45%
63 70 7 -1
10 Jun. 2017
ZAM
Zambie
0 - 1
Mozambique
MOZ
57%
25%
18%
62 74 12 +1
28 Mar. 2017
MOZ
Mozambique
1 - 0
Lesotho
LSO
49%
26%
25%
61 54 7 +1
25 Mar. 2017
MOZ
Mozambique
2 - 0
Angola
ANG
25%
26%
50%
60 68 8 +1

Matchs

Madagascar
Madagascar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jun. 2017
ZIM
Zimbabwe
0 - 0
Madagascar
MAD
58%
24%
18%
60 71 11 0
26 Jun. 2017
MAD
Madagascar
2 - 0
Seychelles
SYC
75%
17%
9%
60 41 19 0
09 Jun. 2017
SDN
Soudan
1 - 3
Madagascar
MAD
44%
25%
31%
59 58 1 +1
29 Avr. 2017
MWI
Malawi
0 - 1
Madagascar
MAD
47%
25%
27%
58 61 3 +1
22 Avr. 2017
MAD
Madagascar
1 - 0
Malawi
MWI
34%
27%
40%
57 62 5 +1