Analyse Portugal vs Allemagne
Possibles résultats
Probabilité de résultat correcte
Probabilité de différence de buts
38.1%
Probabilité victoire
1.75
Buts attendus
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.2%
Match nul
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
39.7%
Probabilité victoire
1.79
Buts attendus
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
Progression de la note ELO
Adversaires proches en matière de points ELO
Matchs
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1936 |
PRT
2 - 3
AUT
32%
22%
47%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mai. 1935 |
PRT
3 - 3
ESP
39%
23%
38%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
PRT
1 - 2
ESP
40%
24%
37%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
ESP
9 - 0
PRT
71%
16%
13%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Avr. 1933 |
ESP
3 - 0
PRT
67%
17%
15%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
Matchs
Allemagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Fév. 1936 |
ESP
1 - 2
DEU
60%
19%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Déc. 1935 |
ENG
3 - 0
DEU
61%
18%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1935 |
DEU
4 - 2
BGR
77%
13%
10%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1935 |
DEU
3 - 0
LVA
83%
10%
7%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1935 |
POL
0 - 1
DEU
42%
21%
37%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |