Analyse Estrella Papilon vs Deportivo Nacional
Possibles résultats
Probabilité de résultat correcte
Probabilité de différence de buts
23.4%
Probabilité victoire
1.41
Buts attendus
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.3%
19.9%
Match nul
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
56.7%
Probabilité victoire
2.26
Buts attendus
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
Graphique ELO/Inclinaison
← Défensif
Tilt
Offensif →
-41%
+10%
Pronostic de points et classement
Position en championnat
POS. ACT.
4º
PTS.
MEILLEUR
PIRE
EXP.
15
2º
4º
4º
18
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
MEILLEUR
PIRE
EXP.
POS. ACT.
2º
| Classement actuel | Attentes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Probabilités des résultats | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Tour suivant
|
100% | 100% |
|
Le milieu de tableau
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs de maintien
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relégation
|
0% | 0% |
Progression de la note ELO
Adversaires proches en matière de points ELO
Matchs
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FAM
0 - 1
EST
56%
20%
23%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
ASF
0 - 1
EST
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
EST
2 - 2
RCA
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 2
EST
61%
18%
21%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mai. 2022 |
BUB
0 - 3
EST
23%
20%
57%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
Matchs
Deportivo Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
NAC
5 - 2
ASF
53%
20%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RCA
1 - 2
NAC
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 1
CAR
70%
16%
14%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 3
NAC
46%
21%
33%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mai. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 11
NAC
45%
22%
33%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +2 |