Analyse Thun vs Aarau
Possibles résultats
Probabilité d'obtenir chaque résultat exact
Probabilité de handicap
48.6%
Probabilité de victoire
1.7
Buts espérés
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.9%
Nul
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.4%
Probabilité de victoire
1.22
Buts espérés
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Graphique ELO/Inclinaison
← Défensif
Tilt
Offensif →
+9%
+7%
Pronostic de points et classement
Position en championnat
POS. ACT.
2º
PTS.
MEILLEUR
PIRE
EXP.
76
1º
5º
2º
43
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
MEILLEUR
PIRE
EXP.
POS. ACT.
6º
Attentes au classement
| Classement actuel | Attentes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Probabilités des résultats | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Tour préliminaire de la Ligue Conférence
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mi-tableau
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relégation
|
0% | 0% |
Progression de la note ELO
Adversaires proches en matière de points ELO
Matchs
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Fév. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
THU
24%
24%
53%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Fév. 2024 |
THU
4 - 1
STA
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 0
THU
16%
22%
63%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
THU
4 - 0
VEV
84%
12%
4%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
THU
5 - 3
BIE
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
Matchs
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Fév. 2024 |
FCA
5 - 2
STA
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Fév. 2024 |
SIO
2 - 0
FCA
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
BAD
1 - 2
FCA
18%
21%
62%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
FCV
42%
24%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
ZUR
4 - 2
FCA
71%
17%
12%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |