Copa Libertadores . 1/8 de finale
Total 3-5
Analyse Toluca vs Cúcuta Deportivo
Possibles résultats
Probabilité de résultat correcte
Probabilité de différence de buts
63.9%
Probabilité victoire
2.11
Buts attendus
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20%
Match nul
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16.1%
Probabilité victoire
0.96
Buts attendus
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Graphique ELO/Inclinaison
← Défensif
Tilt
Offensif →
+5%
-6%
Progression de la note ELO
Adversaires proches en matière de points ELO
Matchs
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mai. 2007 |
CUC
5 - 1
TOL
47%
26%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Avr. 2007 |
TOL
1 - 0
MON
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Avr. 2007 |
TOL
3 - 0
CIE
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Avr. 2007 |
CAZ
0 - 0
TOL
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Avr. 2007 |
TOL
0 - 2
PAC
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matchs
Cúcuta Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mai. 2007 |
CAL
2 - 1
CUC
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mai. 2007 |
CUC
5 - 1
TOL
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mai. 2007 |
CUC
0 - 1
IND
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Avr. 2007 |
CUC
2 - 0
HUI
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Avr. 2007 |
TOL
3 - 4
CUC
46%
25%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |