Copa Sudamericana . 1/4 de finale
Total 5-4
Analyse Vasco da Gama vs Universitario de Deportes
Possibles résultats
Probabilité de résultat correcte
Probabilité de différence de buts
71.1%
Probabilité victoire
2.04
Buts attendus
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19%
Match nul
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
9.9%
Probabilité victoire
0.6
Buts attendus
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Progression de la note ELO
Adversaires proches en matière de points ELO
Matchs
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
VAS
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 0
VAS
25%
25%
50%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
VAS
0 - 0
SAO
43%
25%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
VAS
8 - 3
AUR
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
BAH
0 - 2
VAS
28%
26%
47%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matchs
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 0
AYA
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 0
VAS
25%
25%
50%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CIE
3 - 0
UNI
44%
29%
27%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 2
SPC
56%
26%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
GOD
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |