D4 Suisse . Jor. 24

Analyse Winterthur II vs Lugano II

Winterthur II Lugano II
27 ELO 25
12.7% Tilt 5.3%
5744º Classement général ELO 5188º
58º Classement ELO pays 53º
Probabilité ELO de victoire
61.9%
Winterthur II
20.4%
Match nul
17.7%
Lugano II

Possibles résultats

Probabilité de résultat correcte
Probabilité de différence de buts
61.9%
Probabilité victoire
Winterthur II
2.1
Buts attendus
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.4%
Match nul
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.7%
Probabilité victoire
Lugano II
1.03
Buts attendus
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

Graphique ELO/Inclinaison

← Défensif Tilt Offensif →
Winterthur II
-17%
+14%
Lugano II

Progression de la note ELO

Winterthur II
Lugano II
Adversaires proches en matière de points ELO

Matchs

Winterthur II
Winterthur II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Avr. 2012
YFJ
YF Juventus
5 - 0
Winterthur II
WIN
78%
14%
8%
28 46 18 0
22 Avr. 2012
WIN
Winterthur II
1 - 2
Eschen/Mauren
ESC
23%
22%
55%
30 43 13 -2
14 Avr. 2012
MEN
Mendrisio-Stabio
1 - 2
Winterthur II
WIN
59%
23%
18%
28 38 10 +2
04 Avr. 2012
WIN
Winterthur II
2 - 3
Luzern II
LUZ
31%
24%
45%
29 37 8 -1
31 Mar. 2012
TUG
Tuggen
3 - 1
Winterthur II
WIN
77%
15%
9%
30 44 14 -1

Matchs

Lugano II
Lugano II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Avr. 2012
LUG
Lugano II
1 - 2
St. Gallen II
STG
18%
21%
62%
26 41 15 0
21 Avr. 2012
SCH
Schaffhausen
3 - 0
Lugano II
LUG
77%
16%
8%
26 45 19 0
15 Avr. 2012
LUG
Lugano II
1 - 0
FC Balzers
FCB
29%
22%
49%
25 32 7 +1
01 Avr. 2012
LUG
Lugano II
4 - 1
FC Muri
FCM
48%
23%
30%
24 26 2 +1
24 Mar. 2012
RAP
Rapperswil
1 - 0
Lugano II
LUG
84%
11%
5%
24 41 17 0
X