Analyse France vs Italie
Possibles résultats
Probabilité de résultat correcte
Probabilité de différence de buts
62.2%
Probabilité victoire
1.93
Buts attendus
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.5%
Match nul
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.3%
Probabilité victoire
0.87
Buts attendus
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progression de la note ELO
Adversaires proches en matière de points ELO
Matchs
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mai. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 0
IRL
76%
16%
8%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
RUS
1 - 3
FRA
26%
26%
48%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 3
COL
64%
22%
14%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
DEU
2 - 2
FRA
61%
21%
18%
|
94 | 94 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 0
WLS
82%
14%
5%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
Matchs
Italie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mai. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 1
SAU
73%
18%
9%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
ENG
1 - 1
ITA
54%
24%
21%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
ARG
2 - 0
ITA
60%
22%
18%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 0
SWE
50%
25%
25%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
SWE
1 - 0
ITA
34%
25%
41%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | -1 |